Go fourth into the land of mediocrity

Friday, 22 January 2010

For Gerrard and Torres, read Aaron Lennon. Much as Spurs fans may be loathed to admit it, they are simply not the same team without the flying winger and Wednesday night was ample evidence of that. Harry Redknapp's team lacked creativity and width and Liverpool found it easy to push them infield and strangle their game. Jamie Carragher's legs may be going but even he could deal with balls lumped over the top to Jermain Defoe.

Yet this isn't just about Tottenham's current malaise. Liverpool were the better team against them, but that doesn't mean the Reds fightback was on. Benitez's team was efficient rather than swashbuckling, organised rather than thrusting. The team had the feel of a side set up not to lose, and while they were good value for the win, you suspect their limitations may have been surprised against the likes of Chelsea or Arsenal or, on current form, Everton and Birmingham.

And yet both sides are still very much in the hunt for the final Champions League slot. Tottenham may sit fourth going into this FA Cup weekend, but more performances like the one at Anfield and they're unlikely to be there for much longer. And Liverpool, for all their woes, are still just a point off Spurs.

Just as the top three were falling over themselves in December not to make a play for the top spot, so the pretenders to fourth are also doing their damnedest to pass the buck for fourth. As well as Tottenham and Liverpool, there's Villa and Manchester City. The former is a strong, well-organised side but one with fairly obvious limitations and perhaps two or three players short of a Champions League challenging side.

Manchester City still remain an enigma. On paper, they should be good enough to land that top four spot. On the pitch, their loss to Everton suggests those frustrating inconsistencies that bugged Mark Hughes' reign are still present. It would not be a surprise to see them drop points to surprising teams in the second half of this season.

Birmingham, Fulham and Everton are, realistically, too far behind for fourth place but it's still not inconceivable that any one of these three could end the season above Spurs.

For all the talk of the Premier League opening up, things still remain the same. What pundits now mean is that there's no one, or two, teams running away with the title this year, while fourth place is genuinely up for grabs. That isn't much of a change.

On current performances, there's nothing to suggest that Spurs, Villa or Liverpool wouldn't be dumped out of the Champions League at the group stages, assuming they manage to qualify for them. Manchester City have shown they can turn in the style over one game and may be best placed, especially if they strengthen over the summer, but they still look a little short of being able to hold their own against European giants.

So what we have here is one of the best four teams in England getting weaker and nobody stepping in to replace them, meaning you have an even narrower closed shop at the top. That isn't exactly progress in my book.

Advocating throwing money at getting into the top four isn't exactly a recipe for success either, as Newcastle and Leeds have shown, while Man City still aren't guaranteed such a finish despite the millions they've spent.

The final Champions League spot definitely matters to supporters of the clubs challenging for this position, and if, say, Villa made it into the Champions League group stages, the finances would make a huge difference. But currently the race for fourth just serves to show the discrepancy between the top three and the rest of the Premier League.

(Pic via This Is London)

6 comments:

Anonymous 22 January 2010 11:33  

Pretty much the usual anti - Liverpool view -nothing new there then.Of course you could have said that while we are having the worst season in living memory, no-one has taken advantage of it and when our players return we will sail into the top four and probably give the top three a worry but, god forbid, a southern based journalist ever praises us.I dont suppose you wrote this sort of article while Arsenal have struggled for top four inclusion over the last few years then? Hmmm... though not.

Ian 22 January 2010 11:36  

I've made many predictions over the season, most of them being wrong, but now something is telling me Liverpool will finish fourth.

Tottenham will burn out when we get to the latter stages, Mancheseter City will probably not live up to the expectations, while Aston Villa have a cup final to contest with.

Consistency is something that all these teams lack, but I can just see Liverpool coming into form at the right time.

Chris N 22 January 2010 12:12  

Ah, the old anti-Liverpool bias again. Get over yourself, I don't care enough about Liverpool to enforce a bias and neither, I'd wager, does Gary. Most of the press, including the southern press, spends an inordinate amount of time dribbling over Liverpool.

Not that I wrote the post, but I dislike the "Big Four" equally. In fact, if anything, I'm mostly irritated by Arsenal. But don't let that get in the way of a good bleat.

Gary A 22 January 2010 12:42  

Weirdly, I agree with Ian. I think that either Liverpool or City will finish in the top four. The hype around the fourth place finish, I think, is massively overplaced and the fact that one of the 'big four' may or may not make the top four is not a cause of excitement for me.

As it was I thought Liverpool were quite good against Tottenham, insofar as they were very well organised and very good at stifling Spurs. But Spurs did themselves no favours with a very bizarre and direct game that played straight into the hands of Liverpool.

But as for bais, no, none here. I'm only going by what I've seen that season, and that's been a team who should be better than a good portion of the Premier League but are rather flat and mediocre. In terms of significance, it was a big win for Liverpool. In terms of performance, it was ok.

Incidentally, I never buy the injury excuse (unless, possibly, it's Everton, who have been horrendously unlucky in recent season). Manchester United and Arsenal have had their fair share of injuries. Chelsea are without Drogba and Essien, probably their two best players. Lower down, Fulham have lost the likes of Johnson and Zamora. It happens, it's part and parcel of football. The question is, is your plan B good enough, and that's where a manager comes into his own. In this case Benitez and, yes, Wenger in past seasons have been found wanting.

That said, I'm probably in the minority of people who quite like Philipp Degen as a player. And Wednesday showed why Kuyt is a striker and not a winger. And so on.

If you go back and read the article, it should hopefully come across as not something that's aimed at Liverpool, but at ALL of the pretenders to the top four. I just don't think any of them are good enough at the moment and that is a somewhat depressing comment on the current state of English football.

I have no particular love or loathing for Liverpool, Arsenal or any Premier League team (except a soft spot for Fulham due to Roy Hodgson as opposed to any team loyalty). I don't support a team that has any hope of making the Premier League. I've lost count of how many times I've had to point this out over the years.

Bobdrum999 22 January 2010 14:10  

Gary
Don't know whether you noticed but Liverpool beat Tottenham with five of their most creative players missing. In addition to Gerrard and Torres, injuries prevented Johnson, Benayoun and Agger from playing; Aurelio was also unavailable through injury. You say you have sympathy for some clubs because of injuries but not Liverpool who, in addition to the above, have lost the likes of Mascherano, Reina, Skirtel, Darby, Kelly and others for a significant part of this season. It is clear to me that you are typical of of many commentators who, for some unknown reason, never miss an opportunity to knock the club and who appear to take pleasure in doing so.

Gary A 22 January 2010 15:53  

Somehow, I doubt what I say will have any difference, but I can say until I'm blue in the face - this really wasn't specifically about Liverpool. It's about the teams outside of the top three, which include Liverpool, and why I don't think ay of them are great shakes at the moment.

But, as I'm now saying for the third time, credit where credit's due - Liverpool were better than Spurs and when you look at the respective line-ups, that comes up with a big tick against Rafa's name.

Injuries are a part and parcel of every sport, managers just have to deal with them. Generally, I have little time for managers who use them as an excuse (and perhaps I was a bit easy on Moyes) - they should build a squad that takes into account the possibility their star player may get injured (as they invariably will). And that's not aimed at Rafa per se, but at all managers (especially one who'll constantly claim his squad are down to the 'bare bones').

Also, I think this is the first time I've written anything concerning Liverpool in a long time, and don't enjoy knocking any team (although I'd happily see the MK Dons vanish from the football pyramid).

Again, I'm not pro or anti Liverpool. I just happen to (very) occasionally write about them.

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