
This season's Championship promises to be one of the closest and more fascinating yet. Usually you can base your predictions on one or two big spenders plus last seasons relegated clubs for the top spots, but this season has a slightly different feel to it.
Hull and Burnley are by no means nailed on for a return to the Premier League, let alone challenge for promotion and as for Portsmouth, well... we don't really need to go into their problems again do we?
Meanwhile, Nottingham Forest, Swansea and Cardiff haven't exactly strengthened, while newly-promoted Leeds, Norwich and Millwall will all be competitive - there's no indication any of them will do a Peterborough.
So, the big names jostle among the not-so-big names and reputation counts for nothing. This could be one of the most competitive Championships in years. Or one team could well walk away with it all...
WinnersMiddlesbrough are the bookies favourites and there's certainly a buzz around the Riverside that has even the most pessimistic Boro fan looking towards the top of the table. After last season's damp squib, Gordon Strachan has been rebuilding Middlesbrough in his image.
Nicky Bailey, Kris Boyd and Stephen McManus have the chance to prove their credentials for a shot at the Premier League, although we'll soon find out if signing most of the Scottish Premier League's best players was an inspired move or a very stupid one. If they're not the team to beat, they'll probably self-implode, languish in mid-table and Strachan will be down the job centre.
PromotionLeicester City fans are probably still ruing the one chipped penalty in last year's play-offs, but while manager Nigel Pearson has departed for Hull, new boss Paolo Sousa has been quietly adding to the squad.
With a bit of momentum behind them, and a relatively weak chasing pack, this could be the year the Foxes finally return to the Premier League. Jack Hobbs has turned into an absolute rock at the back, while if Matty Fryatt can stay injury free,he stands a good chance of finishing as the Championship's top scorer.
Plus, there's even more good news for Leicester fans -
Yann Kermorgant is out on loan for the whole season.
Play-offsWho would have thought that, at the start of last season,
Burnley would end up being the best placed club to bounce back to the Premier League? Yet the Clarets have a great chance to show that they're worthy of another shot at the top flight.
Steven Fletcher and Robbie Blake are big losses, but if Chris Iwelumo can replicate his form from two seasons ago, they could well have the firepower to attack the top spots. With such a tight league, Burnely will never have a better chance to bounce back. Now is the time for Brian Laws to prove the doubters wrong.
A do or die season for
Sheffield United awaits. The Blades are now starting their fourth Championship campaign and there's a feeling that Kevin Blackwell needs to take the club into the play-offs to avoid becoming a middling Championship side.
Losing Darius Henderson and Simon Walton to long-term injuries won't help, but there's enough firepower with Ched Evans and Daniel Bogdanovic up front, while Nyron Nosworthy is a good Championship addition at the back. If they can get some consistency going, the play-offs are not beyond them.
Six months ago,
Reading looked odds on for relegation but such has been the turnaround under Brian McDermott that they're among the promotion favourites, and with good cause.
Up front Shane Long, Noel Hunt and Simon Church are a handful, while McDermott is getting the best out of the mercurial talents of Jobi MCAnuff and Jem Karacan. Make no mistake, this is a strong, cohesive squad that will give as good as they get this season. A top six finish is theirs to throw away.
With a level - and some may say weak - Championship, the promoted teams have a great chance to carry their momentum on and
Leeds United could well sneak into the play-offs. Simon Grayson's team have the pressure off having won finally escaped League One, which may help solve their occasional tendency to freeze.
Jermain Beckford may be gone, but this too could free up some of his team mates to step into the limelight. Billy Paynter has big boots to fill up front, but Lloyd Sam should provide him with delicious crosses. With Robert Snodgrass and Patrick Kisnorbo to return from injury later this season, Leeds have an impressive squad.
Fighting chanceBristol City have made the headlines by signing England keeper David James but the appointment of Steve Coppell as manager is a far more important signing. Coppell excels at getting the best from teams, although he made need several months for the squad to settle.
Nicky Hunt is a good signing in defence, while Nicky Maynard should continue to impress up front when he returns from injury. The Robins may have to wait another season before launching their promotion bid but they'll be competitive this year.
Many have
Nottingham Forest down to launch another assault on the automatic places but not all is well at the City ground. Manager Billy Davies has been waging an open war of words with the board and has been quiet in the transfer market.
There will be plenty of expectation at Forest but without freshening up the squad other clubs could fly past. The continued rehabilitation of Robert Earnshaw's career and the permanent signing of Radoslaw Majewski are reasons to smile though.
Will this finally be the year
Queens Park Rangers come good with all their millions? To be honest, probably not, but with Neil Warnock in charge, it should be a lot more entertaining than in previous seasons.
Jamie Mackie will add pace to the front line, while Akos Buzsaky, Adel Taarabt and Martin Rowlands is a midfield full of creativity. If QPR can resist doing something daft, like sacking Warnock three months into the campaign, they could add that bit of steel they've been so badly lacking.
Whisper it, but
Norwich City could be dark horses for a play-off spot. Paul Lambert has constructed an excellent squad who'll be hungry to prove they can cut it in League One.
Canadian hotshot Simeon Jackson has a chance to make his mark at this level, although he'll have to displace the untested at this level but potentially lethal pairing of Grant Holt and Chris Martin. Wes Hoolahan will, as ever, be a joy to watch on the wing. The Canaries will fear no one this season, and nor should they.
RelegationNigel Adkins performed heroics to keep
Scunthorpe in the Championship but faces an even bigger fight this time around. The Iron won't go down without a fight but losing Gary Hooper and Paul Hayes leaves a hole in the attack and it's a big ask for new signings Chris Dagnall from Rochdale and Bobby Grant from Accrington Stanley to replace them.
Adkins squad has the look of a side already being prepared for next season, but expect them to pull off a few surprises and go down with dignity.
Which is more than can be said for
Portsmouth. At the time of writing, they may not even make it to the start of the season and even then Steve Coterill will mostly be relying on youth players. At this rate John Utaka may end up playing in every position on the pitch. By himself. The sad saga continues.
Crystal Palace are slowly emerging from the financial wreckage of last season and George Burley has been making smart additions to the squad.
But when Alan Lee's the focal point of the attacks, the onus is on the midfield to score and there's only so much superhuman effort Darren Ambrose and Neil Danns can put in.
Palace may we play some attractive football, but this will count for nothing if they lack a cutting edge and last season's last-day heroics may have just delayed the inevitable.
Waving, if not drowningWatford are also severely hampered by their finances and while Malky Mackay is slowly proving himself as a manager, the Hornets have little in the way of budget to play with.
There's no Tom Cleverley on loan this season, so Mackay will have to conjure up another gem from the loan market. This could be a nervous season in Hertfordshire.
Mark Robins was one of the Championship's most impressive managers last season, coaxing Barnsley well away from relegation.
The relative size and budget of the club means that survival will always be their first priority but while there may be a few hairy moments this season, Robins should have it in him to steer his team away from relegation and then some.
And the rest...Cardiff City may have to settle for a spot in mid-table after coming so close to promotion to the Premier League last season. Dave Jones is a fine manager but the Bluebirds ongoing financial difficulty and the loss of Joe Ledley have tied his hands somewhat.
Coventry City did very little of note last season, although did occasionally flirt with relegation. Aidy Boothroyd's team won't be pretty to watch, but they should do very little of note much more effectively this time around. Lower mid-table.
Derby County should do better than their more recent league finishes suggest. Nigel Clough isn't renowned for rushing promotion projects, but Rams fans shouldn't expect too many thrills this season. The middle of most mid-table sides.
Doncaster Rovers should consolidate their reputation as one of the more attractive and effective sides this season. Sean O'Driscoll's men may fancy the play-offs, but they may be just out of reach. Top ten is a possibility if Donny get off to a good start.
Hull City could surprise a lot of people, and Nigel Pearson is a shrewd appointment. With plenty of debt in the background, the Tigers need to aim for a return to the Premier League, but may have to settle for a spot just out of the play-offs.
Ipswich Town should improve on last season, just, but expect the same old problems of too many draws and Roy Keane failing to know his best side to resurface. Mid table, then, for the Tractor Boys, who will probably have to stomach Norwich surging past them.
Millwall may be the bookies favourites to return to League One, but Kenny Jackett has built a strong, effective team, while the New Den could become somewhat of a fortress at this level. Safe from relegation, it could be a rather quiet season for the Lions.
Preston North End are no longer the regular play-off contenders and could be in for another season of struggle. Calum Davidson and Sean St Ledger will keep their defence solid but it's hard to see where the goals will come from.
Swansea City were severely hampered by an extended search for a manager that saw rejection after rejection. After challenging for the play-offs in recent seasons, 2010/11 looks likely to be a season of consolidation. The potential for another crack at promotion is there but it may have to wait a year.
And that, as they say, is that. The Championship, as ever, will be a tight and exciting league, and well worth a watch if the Premier League is starting to grate on you. As ever, tell you if you think we've been too kind or harsh on a team - we relish the disagreements.
Next week, we employ the wisdom of the TFT crowd as we give you our Premier League predictions, plus we'll be previewing non-League's top flight, with a look at the Conference.
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